{"id":31486,"date":"2019-11-07T08:00:33","date_gmt":"2019-11-07T13:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/?p=31486"},"modified":"2019-11-07T08:00:33","modified_gmt":"2019-11-07T13:00:33","slug":"fact-checking-the-octopus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/?p=31486","title":{"rendered":"Fact Checking the Octopus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/?p=31410\">Last week<\/a> Mervyn, DDG&#8217;s Octopus oracle, delivered his predictions as to which titles would sell strongly during Downtown Farmington&#8217;s Early Bird sale. It is time now for us to do some fact checking.<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1529-1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-31488\" src=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1529-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"240\" \/><\/a>The Early Bird started out with the usual spectacle of long, pre-dawn lines outside the downtown&#8217;s three story anchor store, Reny&#8217;s, whose well earned slogan is &#8220;Maine&#8217;s Shopping Adventure.&#8221; The Early Bird Sale involves all the downtown stores offering specials from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. Reny\u2019s offers time-sensitive specials. This means deeper discounts between 6:00-7:00, creating a bit of a stampede when the opening bells go off, as you can see in the photo.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nI offer the same special every year, which has a bit of fun with the time-sensitive style offers.<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/earlybirdflyer-1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-23633\" src=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/earlybirdflyer-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"753\" height=\"575\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nWe had a great early morning at the store.<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1536-1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-31489\" src=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1536-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"487\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nYet let us see how our actual sales correlated with Mervyn&#8217;s prognostications. First of all he had told me that as the new Jan Brett title was tiger and not winter themed, that it would not have the early bird appeal of her 2018 release, <em>The Snowy Nap<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1530-1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-31491\" src=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1530-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"427\" \/><\/a>Kenny: <\/span>I have to give it up to you, Mervyn. Last year we sold 13 copies of <em>The Snowy Nap<\/em> during Early Bird. This year we sold zero copies of <em>The Tale of the Tiger Slippers<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Mervyn:<\/span> You only have yourself to blame, Kenny. I told you to winterize the book by inserting trolls, mittens, and polar bears.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">Kenny:<\/span> Believe me, I know. I also have to give you credit for picking out <em>Klawde: Evil Alien Warlord Cat<\/em>, and the new Dory Fantasmagory, <em>Tiny Tough<\/em>, as Early Bird standouts. I guess Klawde&#8217;s boasting about how he would outsell the other books in the chapter book neighborhood had some substance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Mervyn:<\/span> Boasting is very misunderstood, Kenny. Take me, my own assertion of oracular prowess is based on the exhibition of omniscience which has long been the hallmark of my every utterance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">Kenny:<\/span> Oh really, then why did <em>The Crayon&#8217;s Christmas<\/em> outsell <em>Dasher<\/em> despite your prediction of the opposite? Also, great books though they are, we didn&#8217;t sell any copies<em> of Dragon Night\u00a0<\/em>or <em>The Unlikely Escape of Uriah Heep<\/em>, despite your attestation that we would. How do you explain that?<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1532-1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-31490\" src=\"http:\/\/wordpress.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IMG_1532-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"487\" \/><\/a>Mervyn:<\/span> Free will safeguards that I work hard to uphold. I purposely aim wide of the mark sometimes lest those who follow my every word fall into a laconic state of certainty about the path ahead of them. I have a responsibility to mix in false claims with true prophecies to protect humanity form the calamity of certainty.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">Kenny:<\/span>You are a high minded octopus, Mervyn. Is there any reason you didn&#8217;t predict that Leigh Bardugo&#8217;s <em>Ninth Hou<\/em>se and Mary Oliver&#8217;s <em>Upstream<\/em> would be our top Early Bird sellers?<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Mervyn:<\/span> In the case of <em>Ninth House<\/em>, I didn&#8217;t want to toss more wood on the raging fire of your self-regard as I knew you would feel those sales were due to your efforts out on the floor on its behalf.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">Kenny:<\/span> You think that is not the case?<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Mervyn:<\/span>Given my ability to shape the future I know better than to be so hands-on about it. You are an amateur oracle, my man. I knew you would influence the numbers of <em>Ninth House<\/em> sales but I had the vision and wisdom not to acknowledge it beforehand. You should thank me for not dashing your odious self-regard earlier.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">Kenny:<\/span> I&#8217;m so grateful, Mervyn,<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Mervyn:<\/span> No problem at all.<br \/>\n&nbsp;<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Early Bird predictions are tested for accuracy. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31486\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.publishersweekly.com\/blogs\/shelftalker\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}